Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc10…58e2
crypto · 72 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$549 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$549 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$549
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses31 / 41
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage4d
Avg bet$167
Trades / day63.7
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$617
7 days+$549
14 days+$549
30 days+$549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$23 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $417 −$72 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$42 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $209 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $412 −$24 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $556 −$476 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1,039 +$389 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1,461 −$500 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $523 +$181 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $526 −$38 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $378 +$257 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $314 +$26 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $208 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $210 −$96 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $307 −$63 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $316 −$43 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $633 −$29 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $208 +$117 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $629 +$296 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $209 +$81 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $451 +$145 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $209 +$36 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $418 +$64 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $168 −$40 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $416 +$68 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $210 −$149 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$228 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $206 +$162 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $126 −$14 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $138 +$154 +112%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 +$58 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$9 +85%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $11 −$10 -86%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$10 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$27 +86%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +43%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$9 -43%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $29 −$17 -58%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $41 −$12 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$542
sports 1% +$43
other 1% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $127 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $104 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $106 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $84 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $115 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $105 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $147 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $99 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $105 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $101 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $106 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $98 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $98 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $268 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $208 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $15 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $33 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $309 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $218 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $29 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $542 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $347 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -9.2% -17.9% 43% 39% -0.8%
≤30d 72 -9.2% -17.9% 43% 39% -0.8%
≤90d 72 -9.2% -17.9% 43% 39% -0.8%
all 72 -9.2% -17.9% 43% 39% -0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 39% -0.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 31% -10.3%
15% -32.9% 26% -19.0%
20% -39.5% 15% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 288 history records