trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 43% | 43% | -33.0% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 54% | 54% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 34 | -11.1% | -19.5% | 47% | 47% | -66.3% |
| all | 34 | -11.1% | -19.5% | 47% | 47% | -66.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.5% | 47% | -66.3% |
| 10% | -27.2% | 47% | -69.5% |
| 15% | -34.3% | 44% | -72.4% |
| 20% | -40.7% | 35% | -75.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $51 | $51 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5 | Under | 69¢ | 87¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+27%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | Jun 16 | $9 | −$8 | -99% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers | Jun 15 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | Jun 14 | $7 | +$7 | +104% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 13 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 | Jun 11 | $9 | +$5 | +65% |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Jun 11 | $8 | +$5 | +72% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 | Jun 09 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 | Jun 07 | $5 | −$4 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 | Jun 06 | $4 | +$6 | +124% |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | Jun 05 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 | Jun 04 | $8 | +$6 | +72% |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) | Jun 03 | $8 | +$3 | +34% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 | Jun 01 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | May 30 | $9 | −$8 | -99% |
| Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | May 29 | $7 | +$7 | +93% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 | May 29 | $6 | +$8 | +144% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | May 27 | $13 | +$6 | +42% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 | May 25 | $6 | +$8 | +117% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 24 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | May 24 | $6 | +$8 | +122% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 | May 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 21 | $4 | +$5 | +138% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 | May 21 | $4 | +$5 | +117% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5 | May 21 | $10 | +$4 | +39% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 | May 19 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5 | May 18 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | May 17 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | May 16 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5 | Mar 29 | $1,046 | −$1,046 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 | Mar 28 | $697 | −$697 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5 | Mar 28 | $328 | +$328 | +100% |