trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -32.2% | -38.7% | 30% | 30% | -61.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 40% | 40% | -59.1% |
| all | 76 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 50% | 50% | -35.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 50% | -35.4% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 50% | -41.6% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 47% | -47.2% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 42% | -52.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $197 | $195 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $268 | −$267 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $253 | −$249 | -99% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $181 | −$177 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $203 | −$198 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $215 | −$210 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $240 | −$237 | -99% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $188 | +$470 | +250% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $89 | −$88 | -99% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 10 | $9 | +$7 | +83% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 06 | $12 | +$6 | +46% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 02 | $19 | −$19 | -99% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | May 02 | $24 | +$13 | +52% |
| Wild vs. Red Wings | Apr 15 | $8 | +$6 | +79% |
| 76ers vs. Heat | Mar 30 | $18 | −$18 | -99% |
| Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats | Mar 30 | $21 | +$15 | +69% |
| Grizzlies vs. Bulls | Mar 20 | $15 | +$6 | +43% |
| Utah vs. Wild | Mar 16 | $9 | +$6 | +67% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | Feb 27 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-16? | Feb 16 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 06 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Wild | Feb 03 | $22 | +$17 | +79% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 03 | $63 | −$31 | -50% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | Feb 02 | $27 | +$10 | +39% |
| Clippers vs. Pistons | Jan 10 | $67 | −$67 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Sharks | Jan 10 | $29 | +$37 | +127% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Dec 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Texas vs. Ohio State | Dec 16 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Greece win on 2025-09-08? | Dec 16 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Dec 16 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Utah | Dec 16 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Senators | Dec 12 | $61 | +$82 | +133% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville State | Dec 04 | $55 | +$68 | +122% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bucks | Nov 29 | $46 | +$55 | +117% |
| Arizona vs. Cincinnati | Nov 24 | $30 | +$62 | +203% |
| Canucks vs. Predators | Nov 15 | $27 | +$27 | +100% |
| Canucks vs. Capitals | Oct 30 | $14 | +$21 | +144% |
| Titans vs. Raiders | Oct 19 | $16 | +$9 | +54% |
| Chiefs vs. Jaguars | Oct 12 | $12 | +$21 | +178% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04? | Oct 06 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17? | Sep 23 | $10 | +$7 | +75% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14? | Sep 17 | $14 | +$5 | +33% |
| Dodgers vs. Angels | Aug 30 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Mets vs. Nationals | Aug 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Marlins vs. Braves | Aug 30 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Mariners vs. Angels | Aug 30 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Cardinals | Aug 30 | $8 | +$7 | +89% |
| Phillies vs. White Sox | Aug 07 | $16 | +$10 | +61% |
| Magic vs. Nets | Jul 24 | $9 | +$7 | +82% |
| Mariners vs. Yankees | Jul 16 | $12 | +$8 | +70% |
| Marlins vs. Giants | Jul 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |