Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc0a…17a5
crypto · 422 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$218 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$224 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$224
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses245 / 176
Open positions1
Markets (closed)421 / 422
History coverage32d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day39.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 421 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$70
14 days−$82
30 days−$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ 26¢ $22 $12 −$10 (-47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 33¢ 74¢ $5 $10 +$6 (+123%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$15 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$29 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$11 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$10 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$13 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$22 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$12 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$38 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$8 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$16 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$14 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $19 −$14 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$218
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -2.1% -11.4% 69% 34% -12.3%
≤30d 358 +5.0% -5.0% 63% 31% -12.2%
≤90d 421 +0.5% -9.1% 58% 29% -13.1%
all 421 +0.5% -9.1% 58% 29% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 29% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 22% -21.4%
15% -25.7% 17% -29.0%
20% -33.0% 15% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.05 · official $29.40 · 1672 history records