Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:42:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
DB 0xdbfa…be72 crypto 6 markets active 6d ago coverage 89d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$68 (-84%) realized −$68 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -94% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -94% what you keep after slip
Net edge-94%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 89d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-94.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 6 -93.7% -94.3% 0% 0% -88.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -94.3% 0% -88.6%
10% -94.8% 0% -89.7%
15% -95.3% 0% -90.7%
20% -95.8% 0% -91.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -94% · $-wt -87% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$11 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

89d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage89d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Mar 15 $26 −$16 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Mar 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $16 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 0¢ $1 94d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 94d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $10 94d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $10 94d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 94d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 15 history records