Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:36:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbf6…9a73
crypto · 18 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$236 -41%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$236 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$236
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses10 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$236
7 days−$236
14 days−$236
30 days−$236
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$3 +6%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -99%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $21 −$19 -92%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $102 −$89 -87%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$58
tech 25% −$128
other 9% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $22 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $21 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $60 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $59 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $56 12h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $50 13h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 13h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL No 0¢ $2 13h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes 8¢ $13 14h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 59¢ $102 16h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY No 6¢ $21 17h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-37.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -31.4% -37.9% 56% 11% -47.0%
≤30d 18 -31.4% -37.9% 56% 11% -47.0%
≤90d 18 -31.4% -37.9% 56% 11% -47.0%
all 18 -31.4% -37.9% 56% 11% -47.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.9% 11% -47.0%
10% ← realistic here -43.9% 0% -52.1%
15% -49.3% 0% -56.7%
20% -54.3% 0% -61.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 44 history records