Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:52:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbf3…b1b5
other · 138 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$78 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$86
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses12 / 124
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)136 / 138
History coverage102d
Avg bet$130
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 2 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$20
14 days−$32
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 98¢ 98¢ $43 $43 −$0 (-0%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 95¢ 94¢ $43 $43 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 13 $153 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $49 −$1 -2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $111 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $64 $0 -0%
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $60 −$3 -5%
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $55 −$2 -4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Jun 11 $47 −$4 -8%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 10 $53 −$1 -3%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $59 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 10 $65 $0 -1%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $243 −$1 -0%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 09 $51 −$2 -3%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $94 −$1 -1%
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 07 $42 −$2 -4%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 07 $60 −$1 -1%
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $44 −$1 -3%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 06 $86 $0 -0%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 06 $104 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 06 $54 $0 -1%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $62 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? Jun 05 $43 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $111 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Jun 04 $44 −$1 -2%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $100 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 03 $187 −$1 -0%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 03 $50 −$1 -1%
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 02 $51 −$1 -2%
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 02 $49 −$1 -2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom Jun 02 $178 −$1 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 01 $50 −$1 -1%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $105 −$3 -3%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 31 $128 $0 -0%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? May 31 $107 $0 -0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $82 $0 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 30 $100 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $55 −$1 -1%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $55 −$3 -5%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? May 29 $148 −$1 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $56 −$1 -2%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $101 −$1 -1%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 27 $41 $0 -1%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $111 −$1 -1%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 27 $62 +$4 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 23 $53 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 May 22 $60 $0 -0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 22 $97 $0 -0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? May 21 $104 $0 -0%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 21 $59 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 20 $160 −$1 -1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 20 $56 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 31% −$35
politics 25% −$20
sports 17% −$13
crypto 10% −$5
economics 7% +$3
culture 4% −$3
world 4% −$1
tech 2% +$1
finance 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $43 1h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 95¢ $43 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL No 98¢ $60 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? BUY No 98¢ $60 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 93¢ $48 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $49 14h
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 97¢ $55 15h
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 97¢ $55 21h
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $64 22h
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $64 26h
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 92¢ $57 26h
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 96¢ $7 32h
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 96¢ $54 32h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? SELL No 95¢ $47 33h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? BUY No 95¢ $47 38h
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $53 38h
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $55 46h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL No 85¢ $43 47h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY No 91¢ $47 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? SELL No 94¢ $52 2d
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? BUY No 96¢ $53 2d
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 95¢ $59 2d
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 95¢ $59 2d
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World SELL Yes 94¢ $65 2d
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 94¢ $65 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 95¢ $48 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $48 3d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL No 93¢ $49 3d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 96¢ $51 3d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $45 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -2.0% -11.3% 0% 0% -10.8%
≤30d 55 -1.4% -10.8% 2% 0% -10.5%
≤90d 117 -0.8% -10.2% 9% 0% -9.9%
all 136 -0.7% -10.2% 9% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.8% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.68 · official $85.68 (match) · 487 history records