Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:01:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbf2…e987
weather · 1502 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$569 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$564 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,736
Realized+$564
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1397 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions71
Markets (closed)1431 / 1502
History coverage44d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day46.3
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 71 History 1431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$65
7 days+$215
14 days+$367
30 days+$379
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $279 $276 −$3 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $254 $254 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $229 $229 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $229 $229 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $201 $201 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $199 $200 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $200 $200 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $199 $200 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $197 $198 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $185 $185 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $179 $178 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $159 $160 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $159 $159 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $159 $159 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $155 $155 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $150 $149 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $141 $142 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $133 $136 +$3 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13? No 100¢ 97¢ $135 $132 −$3 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $126 $126 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $125 $125 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $112 $113 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $101 $101 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $101 $101 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 102°F or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $101 $101 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 12? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $40 −$5 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 12? Jun 13 $74 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $39 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $109 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $42 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $418 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $39 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $69 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $122 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $329 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $119 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $29 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $279 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $29 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $84 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $184 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $47 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $131 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 88°F or higher on June 11? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on June Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 11 Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 94°F or higher on June 11? Jun 12 $80 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 11? Jun 12 $24 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 11? Jun 12 $39 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12? Jun 11 $118 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $219 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$572
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $11 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 83¢ $17 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $12 2h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $38 3h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 86¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $38 4h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? SELL No 86¢ $30 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $8 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $3 4h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $112 4h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $12 7h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 102°F or higher on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 7h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $100 7h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $100 7h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on BUY No 100¢ $101 7h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 102°F or higher on Ju BUY No 100¢ $101 7h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 1 BUY No 100¢ $101 7h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $100 7h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $201 7h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $20 7h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $101 7h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $125 7h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun BUY No 100¢ $101 7h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $100 7h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 99¢ $197 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $229 7h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $49 7h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 7h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $133 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 328 +1.4% -8.2% 96% 2% -8.7%
≤30d 920 +0.8% -8.8% 97% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 1431 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 1% -9.0%
all 1431 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 1% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 1% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 1% -17.7%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,736.02 · official $6,736.03 (match) · 3500 history records