Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:44:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbf1…563b
crypto · 193 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$151 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$151 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses112 / 80
Open positions1
Markets (closed)192 / 193
History coverage22d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$39
14 days−$52
30 days−$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 57¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$231
tech 0% −$5
world 0% +$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -9.6% -18.2% 53% 43% -16.4%
≤30d 192 +2.0% -7.7% 58% 40% -18.7%
≤90d 192 +2.0% -7.7% 58% 40% -18.7%
all 192 +2.0% -7.7% 58% 40% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 40% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 28% -26.5%
15% -24.6% 13% -33.6%
20% -32.0% 8% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.67 · official $1.46 (match) · 523 history records