Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:52:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
DB 0xdbee…287a sports 139 markets active 7h ago coverage 28d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$43 (+5%) realized +$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%68W / 70L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day8.4pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit62%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$14
14 days+$53
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 65% +$55
other 34% −$23
crypto 0% −$2
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +2.2% -7.5% 52% 52% -4.9%
≤30d 138 +7.1% -3.1% 49% 48% -5.0%
≤90d 138 +7.1% -3.1% 49% 48% -5.0%
all 138 +7.1% -3.1% 49% 48% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.1% 48% -5.0%
10% -12.4% 45% -14.1%
15% -20.9% 43% -22.4%
20% -28.6% 37% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +11% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×1.13 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses68 / 70
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)138 / 139
History coverage28d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 138 Trades
no open positions (53 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $1 +$4 +400%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -79%
Austria vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime? Jun 17 $3 +$2 +64%
Argentina to win the second half? Jun 17 $5 +$4 +79%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $15 +$14 +90%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $2 +$1 +67%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 15 $3 +$3 +107%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 15 $3 −$2 -98%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $5 +$4 +86%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Second half draw? Jun 15 $5 +$3 +57%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $10 +$4 +39%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $3 +$3 +99%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $3 +$8 +249%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $5 −$1 -10%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $6 +$2 +36%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $4 +$4 +90%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $3 +$1 +48%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -18%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 +$6 +38%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 +$3 +107%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +72%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +122%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 6h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $0 6h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 6h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 13¢ $1 7h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 7h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 7h
Austria vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime? SELL No 90¢ $5 8h
Austria vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime? BUY No 54¢ $3 8h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY 24¢ $1 8h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 12h
Argentina to win the second half? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 12h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 35¢ $2 13h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 15h
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $5 18h
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $10 18h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 59¢ $2 37h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 37h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $10 42h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners SELL Under 99¢ $6 43h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $5 43h
Spain leading at halftime? BUY Yes 45¢ $3 44h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 57¢ $10 45h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 45h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Under 47¢ $3 45h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $9 2d
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $14 2d
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $6 2d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 2d
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Second half draw? BUY No 63¢ $5 2d
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $1.20 · 270 history records