Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbea…f60c
crypto · 431 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,641 -45%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,641 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$2,641
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses199 / 525
Open positions0
Markets (closed)724 / 431
History coverage14d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day239.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 724 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,346
7 days−$2,839
14 days−$2,641
30 days−$2,641
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+310%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+208%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+140%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+324%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +809%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +540%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$37 +15359%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +826%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$16 +2956%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$49 +15279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$38 +9236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +1727%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +729%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$29 +20228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$39 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$819
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-25.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 523 -27.2% -34.1% 19% 18% -48.8%
≤30d 724 -18.0% -25.8% 27% 27% -37.7%
≤90d 724 -18.0% -25.8% 27% 27% -37.7%
all 724 -18.0% -25.8% 27% 27% -37.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover239.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.8% 27% -37.7%
10% ← realistic here -32.9% 27% -43.7%
15% -39.4% 25% -49.1%
20% -45.3% 22% -54.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.84 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records