Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:09:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbe8…1141
sports · 625 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,704 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,725 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,611
Realized−$8,725
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses308 / 306
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$634
Open positions11
Markets (closed)614 / 625
History coverage113d
Avg bet$174
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 11 History 614 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$363
7 days−$966
14 days+$0
30 days−$1,146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Spurs 77¢ 76¢ $782 $777 −$5 (-1%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 81¢ 82¢ $644 $654 +$9 (+1%)
Will Egersunds IK win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 78¢ $221 $232 +$11 (+5%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 79¢ 78¢ $230 $228 −$1 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane 51¢ 50¢ $215 $213 −$2 (-1%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 76¢ 76¢ $198 $196 −$1 (-1%)
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-06-14? No 36¢ 36¢ $134 $136 +$2 (+1%)
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Gimnasia 61¢ 62¢ $75 $76 +$1 (+1%)
Yunnan Yukun FC leading at halftime? No 62¢ 52¢ $43 $36 −$7 (-15%)
Tunisia leading at halftime? No 78¢ 89¢ $30 $34 +$4 (+14%)
Haiti leading at halftime? No 60¢ 93¢ $18 $28 +$10 (+55%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 12 $573 −$573 -100%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Jacob Brumm vs Marcel Latak Jun 12 $23 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 11 $114 +$236 +206%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 10 $274 +$209 +76%
Liam Broady vs. Raul Brancaccio: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $25 +$25 +98%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $525 −$525 -100%
Will England win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $61 +$8 +13%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $675 +$393 +58%
Will Lithuania win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $48 +$7 +14%
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $184 +$6 +3%
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $73 +$53 +72%
Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw? Jun 09 $72 +$180 +250%
Will Malawi win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $287 +$150 +52%
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? Jun 09 $93 −$3 -3%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $113 +$134 +118%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $372 −$372 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Nanterre vs. Monaco Jun 09 $433 +$373 +86%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $148 +$11 +7%
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $77 +$69 +89%
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $199 +$50 +25%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $215 +$185 +86%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $303 +$231 +76%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $386 +$72 +18%
Cabo Verde leading at halftime? Jun 07 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05? Jun 07 $412 −$412 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 07 $749 −$749 -100%
Will Vanuatu vs. Fiji end in a draw? Jun 07 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? Jun 07 $463 −$463 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $45 −$45 -100%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $103 −$103 -100%
Hong Kong SAR leading at halftime? Jun 07 $120 −$120 -100%
Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $68 −$68 -100%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 07 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $43 −$43 -100%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5 Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win? Jun 07 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Perpignan win? Jun 07 $12 +$3 +24%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $74 +$36 +49%
Will Guam win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $138 +$12 +8%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $15 +$7 +47%
Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? Jun 06 $42 +$6 +14%
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Cha Jun 06 $121 +$115 +95%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $163 +$186 +115%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $69 +$93 +134%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Jun 05 $23 −$23 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$8,033
other 27% −$777
world 0% +$54
crypto 0% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Spurs 77¢ $234 1h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 79¢ $231 7h
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Spurs 77¢ $214 9h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 81¢ $271 10h
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Spurs 77¢ $127 13h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 81¢ $270 13h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 76¢ $199 13h
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Spurs 77¢ $212 13h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 80¢ $107 14h
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Gimnasia 61¢ $76 14h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S BUY G2 Ares 32¢ $28 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S BUY G2 Ares 32¢ $86 2d
ITF Los Angeles: Jacob Brumm vs Marcel Latak BUY Marcel Latak 47¢ $23 2d
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles BUY Hanwha Eagles 56¢ $274 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 51¢ $109 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 51¢ $109 2d
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 58¢ $261 3d
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 58¢ $264 3d
Liam Broady vs. Raul Brancaccio: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 50¢ $25 3d
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? SELL No 33¢ $90 3d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group BUY Atreides 47¢ $61 3d
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 58¢ $36 3d
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 58¢ $10 3d
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 56¢ $26 3d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group BUY Atreides 47¢ $110 3d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group BUY Atreides 48¢ $225 3d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group BUY Atreides 48¢ $177 3d
Will Egersunds IK win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $50 3d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY No 23¢ $26 3d
Will Malawi win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 65¢ $149 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -8.2% -17.0% 54% 46% -20.3%
≤30d 219 -6.5% -15.4% 52% 48% -12.4%
≤90d 512 -4.4% -13.5% 48% 46% -17.4%
all 614 -3.1% -12.3% 50% 48% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 48% -17.0%
10% -20.7% 43% -24.9%
15% -28.4% 37% -32.2%
20% -35.4% 31% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,610.68 · official $2,610.68 (match) · 1588 history records