Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbdd…a5de
sports · 797 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$15,904 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,257 · open −$2,324
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$10,542
Realized+$18,257
Unrealized−$2,324
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses412 / 333
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$2,029
Open positions77
Markets (closed)745 / 797
History coverage3d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day888.1
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 77 History 745 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,087
7 days+$18,257
14 days+$18,257
30 days+$18,257
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 46¢ 100¢ $1,372 $3,006 +$1,635 (+119%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Doosan Bears 49¢ 100¢ $955 $1,949 +$993 (+104%)
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Lokomotiv Kuban 56¢ 100¢ $455 $813 +$357 (+78%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 63¢ 81¢ $466 $599 +$134 (+29%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 38¢ 12¢ $1,858 $562 −$1,296 (-70%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 32¢ 100¢ $160 $500 +$340 (+212%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 32¢ 100¢ $160 $498 +$338 (+211%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 60¢ 88¢ $300 $442 +$142 (+48%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Level UP 56¢ 65¢ $308 $359 +$52 (+17%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 44¢ 26¢ $570 $330 −$240 (-42%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Nemiga Gaming 56¢ 62¢ $295 $328 +$33 (+11%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner 4ikibamboni 29¢ 35¢ $212 $257 +$45 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 80¢ 100¢ $200 $250 +$50 (+25%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 100¢ $51 $146 +$95 (+186%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 38¢ 100¢ $38 $101 +$63 (+163%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 65¢ 100¢ $58 $89 +$31 (+54%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 34¢ 26¢ $95 $72 −$23 (-24%)
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 Under 84¢ 85¢ $58 $59 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 32¢ 46¢ $25 $35 +$10 (+42%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 64¢ 68¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+8%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 78¢ 100¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+28%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Camilla Gennaro 31¢ 18¢ $20 $11 −$8 (-41%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 64¢ 60¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-7%)
Set 2 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Giron 34¢ 50¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+47%)
ITF Klagenfurt: Dominik Recek vs Justas Trainauskas Justas Trainauskas 49¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+793%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,006 +$571 +57%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Danilina/Krunic vs Mihalikova/Nicholls Jun 12 $6 +$3 +42%
Gea vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Cristian vs. Boulter: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $140 +$60 +43%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $74 +$14 +18%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $49 +$33 +68%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $128 +$54 +42%
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Martina Colmegna Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Ui Su Jeong Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $202 +$302 +150%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $92 +$761 +826%
Set 2 Winner: Medvedev vs Boogaard Jun 12 $38 +$8 +20%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $107 +$398 +371%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,545 +$466 +30%
ITF Madrid: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Margaux Maquet Jun 12 $21 +$15 +73%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +146%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $62 +$5 +8%
ITF Monastir: Sun Min Ha vs Alice Battesti Jun 12 $6 +$11 +194%
Set 2 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $391 +$257 +66%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 +$26 +165%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $2 +$3 +123%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $32 −$27 -83%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $59 +$49 +83%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Jun 12 $175 +$51 +29%
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos Jun 12 $2 +$8 +308%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $189 −$180 -96%
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Open Jun 12 $23 +$7 +30%
Set 1 Winner: Arseneault vs Kuzmova Jun 12 $31 +$19 +62%
ITF Monastir: Lourdes Ayala vs Chiara Fornasieri Jun 12 $26 +$25 +96%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $792 −$248 -31%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $48 +$3 +7%
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Jun 12 $30 +$5 +16%
ITF kiseljak: Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila vs Kirill Kivattsev Jun 12 $54 −$48 -87%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $282 +$285 +101%
Valentina Ryser vs. Gabriela Andrea Knutson: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Santiago vs Maquet Jun 12 $34 +$3 +9%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Nice: Iva Ivanova vs Maria Sara Popa Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 12 $86 −$16 -18%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $470 −$391 -83%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $104 −$102 -98%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $508 +$96 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$14,986
other 3% +$965
crypto 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 46¢ $4 2m
Set 2 Winner: Shelton vs Giron BUY Shelton 95¢ $7 3m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 46¢ $4 3m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 30¢ $0 4m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 46¢ $4 4m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY 4ikibamboni 30¢ $100 5m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY 4ikibamboni 28¢ $117 5m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 46¢ $4 5m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 29¢ $4 7m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 79¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 25¢ $3 7m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 80¢ $5 9m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 35¢ $43 11m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 34¢ $45 11m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 33¢ $3 12m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 16¢ $5 13m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 44¢ $4 17m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 56¢ $279 18m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 49¢ $5 19m
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric BUY Pia Lovric 34¢ $2 19m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Level UP 62¢ $32 23m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Level UP 55¢ $1 30m
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Level UP 55¢ $279 31m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 48¢ $117 32m
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 63¢ $457 33m
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 61¢ $6 33m
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 62¢ $8 33m
Dota 2: summer bear vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Bald 58¢ $3 34m
ITF San Gregorio: Elena Korokozidi vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon BUY Elena Korokozidi 21¢ $1 38m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $571 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 745 +8.8% -1.6% 55% 52% +1.8%
≤30d 745 +8.8% -1.6% 55% 52% +1.8%
≤90d 745 +8.8% -1.6% 55% 52% +1.8%
all 745 +8.8% -1.6% 55% 52% +1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover888.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.6% 52% +1.8%
10% ← realistic here -11.0% 47% -8.0%
15% -19.6% 41% -16.9%
20% -27.5% 32% -25.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,542.47 · official $10,541.67 (match) · 3500 history records