Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:48:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbdb…b241
sports · 149 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses53 / 96
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)149 / 149
History coverage18d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days+$77
14 days+$76
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 70¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 4 Winner NRG Esports 61¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner TLN Pirates 34¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 31¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 47¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 53¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner INOX Division 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 36¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 18¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage ex-Zero Tenacity 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage LGD Gaming 36¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 62¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Esports Academy 39¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 43¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Aurora 77¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 37¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner MVK Esports 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Once Upon A Team 45¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Aurora 42¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 16¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Esports Academy 54¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 36¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner Movistar KOI 32¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 41¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$14 +137%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$21 +388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$16 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$67 +638%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$43 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $25 −$1 -6%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 30 $5 $0 -5%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 2 Winner May 29 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs May 29 $10 −$6 -59%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series May 29 $5 +$1 +15%
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series P May 29 $5 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Bas May 29 $5 $0 -8%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $10 −$1 -6%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Euro May 29 $5 $0 -4%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $10 +$1 +14%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshire May 29 $5 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner May 29 $5 +$7 +139%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $23 +$33 +146%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $5 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner May 29 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Play May 29 $5 +$1 +11%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $5 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 29 $11 +$9 +84%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 29 $10 +$2 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$76
crypto 16% +$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +20.7% +9.2% 52% 52% +13.0%
≤30d 149 -4.3% -13.4% 36% 36% -9.0%
≤90d 149 -4.3% -13.4% 36% 36% -9.0%
all 149 -4.3% -13.4% 36% 36% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 36% -9.0%
10% -21.7% 32% -17.7%
15% -29.2% 28% -25.6%
20% -36.2% 22% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 361 history records