Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T10:14:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdbd8…3e03 crypto 1237 markets active 0h ago coverage 145d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$182 (-1%) realized −$182 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate90%1112W / 125L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day9.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$129
14 days−$161
30 days−$221
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$223
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -4.0% -13.1% 92% 3% -14.6%
≤30d 1229 -1.3% -10.7% 90% 10% -11.0%
≤90d 1231 -1.3% -10.7% 90% 10% -11.0%
all 1237 -1.2% -10.6% 90% 10% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 10% -11.0%
10% -19.2% 8% -19.6%
15% -27.0% 6% -27.3%
20% -34.1% 5% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$9 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

145d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$182
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1112 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1237 / 1237
History coverage145d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day9.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1237 Trades
no open positions (121 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$13 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2431 history records