Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:56:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbd8…9a78
crypto · 983 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,362 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,346 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$98
Realized−$4,346
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses553 / 615
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1168 / 983
History coverage22d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day131.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,941
7 days−$4,767
14 days−$4,324
30 days−$4,346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 54¢ 46¢ $58 $49 −$9 (-15%)
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 34¢ 27¢ $40 $32 −$8 (-21%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No 45¢ 50¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+10%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 15¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-37%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$719
sports 1% −$66
other 1% −$16
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $16 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $13 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 424 -52.8% -57.3% 26% 22% -69.4%
≤30d 1168 -10.6% -19.1% 47% 41% -28.9%
≤90d 1168 -10.6% -19.1% 47% 41% -28.9%
all 1168 -10.6% -19.1% 47% 41% -28.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 41% -28.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 35% -35.7%
15% -33.9% 29% -41.9%
20% -40.4% 22% -47.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98.45 · official $95.74 · 3500 history records