Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T00:14:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
DB 0xdbc2…3ea4 sports 12 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +149% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +108% what you keep after slip
Net edge+108%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%2W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day14.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit58%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 58% +$3
other 42% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+125.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +148.7% +125.0% 100% 100% +125.1%
≤30d 2 +148.7% +125.0% 100% 100% +125.1%
≤90d 2 +148.7% +125.0% 100% 100% +125.1%
all 2 +148.7% +125.0% 100% 100% +125.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +125.0% 100% +125.1%
10% +103.5% 100% +103.5%
15% +83.8% 100% +83.9%
20% +65.8% 100% +65.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 60% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +149% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +149% · $-wt +149% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)2 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit58%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 10 History 2 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 36¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Over 31¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 Over 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 Over 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Over 14¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $1 +$1 +118%
Spread: Norway (-2.5) Jun 17 $1 +$2 +179%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2 10m
Spread: Norway (-2.5) SELL Norway 100¢ $3 12m
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $1 59m
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 36¢ $1 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 14¢ $1 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $1 2h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 16¢ $1 2h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 2h
Spread: Norway (-2.5) BUY Norway 35¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.52 · official $9.52 (match) · 14 history records