Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:59:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbb8…c0e9
other · 185 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$218 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$170 · open −$59
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$774
Realized−$170
Unrealized−$59
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses60 / 56
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions69
Markets (closed)116 / 185
History coverage382d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 69 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days−$231
14 days−$219
30 days−$219
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No 46¢ 36¢ $60 $47 −$12 (-21%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June? Yes 43¢ 41¢ $49 $47 −$2 (-5%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? No 62¢ 62¢ $45 $46 +$0 (+1%)
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 60¢ 62¢ $32 $33 +$1 (+4%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 24¢ 14¢ $52 $31 −$20 (-40%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No 58¢ 57¢ $28 $27 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 100¢ $5 $26 +$21 (+437%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 52¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30? No 16¢ 9¢ $46 $26 −$20 (-44%)
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 22¢ 21¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-4%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No 51¢ 50¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? Yes 48¢ 47¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 68¢ 64¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? No 70¢ 69¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 82¢ 78¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-4%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 66¢ 66¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+0%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes 49¢ 18¢ $32 $12 −$20 (-62%)
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 78¢ 78¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No 30¢ 18¢ $16 $9 −$6 (-41%)
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 43¢ 49¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+14%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 42¢ 42¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? No 50¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $6 $0 -3%
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 13 $310 +$10 +3%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Jun 13 $25 +$1 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $102 +$25 +25%
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz Jun 13 $502 +$40 +8%
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last E Jun 13 $81 −$15 -18%
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO Jun 12 $45 −$18 -41%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $49 −$14 -28%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $83 +$5 +5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $314 +$20 +6%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $8 $0 -3%
Ebola case in the US by June 30? Jun 11 $7 −$2 -28%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $23 −$5 -24%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Jun 11 $14 −$1 -4%
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties? Jun 11 $70 +$3 +4%
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 Jun 11 $8 −$1 -13%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Jun 11 $125 −$6 -4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Jun 11 $37 −$2 -6%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $56 +$3 +5%
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -49%
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $57 −$3 -6%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi Jun 11 $6 −$2 -38%
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? Jun 11 $128 −$28 -22%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 11 $15 $0 -2%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $37 +$2 +5%
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 Jun 10 $4 −$1 -18%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 10 $21 −$1 -4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 10 $14 $0 +1%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Jun 10 $6 $0 -8%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 10 $1 $0 -12%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Jun 10 $3 −$1 -18%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $46 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% −$24
other 18% +$21
world 12% −$44
tech 8% −$12
sports 4% −$22
politics 3% −$138
finance 2% −$10
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 29¢ $0 3m
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 30¢ $2 4m
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 29¢ $10 5m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 66¢ $16 14m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 38¢ $8 17m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 45¢ $5 20m
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of SELL Yes 36¢ $2 25m
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap SELL No 40¢ $1 31m
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 30¢ $2 47m
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 30¢ $3 47m
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $8 51m
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap SELL No 40¢ $1 1h
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30? BUY No 16¢ $44 1h
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 32¢ $8 1h
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 50¢ $3 1h
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? BUY No 76¢ $8 1h
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 43¢ $8 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 38¢ $8 1h
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap BUY Yes 60¢ $32 1h
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap SELL No 40¢ $4 1h
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap SELL No 40¢ $4 1h
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of SELL Yes 35¢ $2 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 42¢ $3 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 42¢ $3 1h
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30? SELL No 23¢ $2 1h
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30? SELL No 23¢ $2 1h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $8 1h
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World SELL No 11¢ $1 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 48¢ $5 1h
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -13.5% -21.7% 41% 7% -14.8%
≤30d 83 -11.7% -20.1% 46% 7% -14.1%
≤90d 83 -11.7% -20.1% 46% 7% -14.1%
all 116 -2.0% -11.4% 52% 10% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 10% -11.5%
10% -19.8% 3% -20.0%
15% -27.6% 3% -27.7%
20% -34.7% 3% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $774.45 · official $774.14 (match) · 3500 history records