Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:43:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdbb8…37f3 crypto 646 markets active 4h ago coverage 42d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$100 (+0%) realized +$100 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate76%490W / 156L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day32.1pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days−$2
14 days−$241
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$150
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 +4.4% -5.5% 75% 43% -9.6%
≤30d 417 +1.4% -8.2% 78% 39% -9.7%
≤90d 646 -1.4% -10.8% 76% 50% -10.0%
all 646 -1.4% -10.8% 76% 50% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 50% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 28% -18.6%
15% -27.1% 12% -26.5%
20% -34.3% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$16 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$100
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses490 / 156
Open positions0
Markets (closed)646 / 646
History coverage42d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day32.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 646 Trades
no open positions (80 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $111 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $54 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $55 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $55 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $41 +$10 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$14 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +11%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$6 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $120 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $58 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $49 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $16 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1831 history records