trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 7 | +31.2% | +18.7% | 100% | 29% | +67.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +14.8% | +3.8% | 88% | 25% | +20.5% |
| all | 13 | +9.4% | -1.0% | 92% | 15% | +17.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.0% | 15% | +17.2% |
| 10% | -10.5% | 15% | +6.0% |
| 15% | -19.2% | 15% | -4.3% |
| 20% | -27.1% | 15% | -13.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | No | 44¢ | 44¢ | $287 | $284 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $142 | +$162 | +114% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $155 | +$157 | +101% |
| Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 20 | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition | May 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | May 18 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | May 18 | $25 | +$1 | +2% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $148 | −$146 | -99% |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | Feb 03 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 03 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap | Feb 03 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | Jan 07 | $16 | $0 | +0% |