Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T02:10:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdbb2…2601 crypto 133 markets active 3d ago coverage 141d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$458 (-11%) realized −$458 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate53%68W / 60L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day1.4pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$345
14 days−$345
30 days−$386
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% −$258
other 9% −$271
politics 3% +$5
sports 2% +$20
world 1% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -23.2% -30.5% 48% 30% -51.9%
≤30d 50 -17.8% -25.6% 48% 36% -44.9%
≤90d 50 -17.8% -25.6% 48% 36% -44.9%
all 128 -12.4% -20.7% 53% 45% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.7% 45% -20.1%
10% -28.3% 37% -27.7%
15% -35.3% 27% -34.7%
20% -41.6% 17% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -39% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -19% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$23 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

141d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$458
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses68 / 60
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)128 / 133
History coverage141d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 128 Trades
no open positions (49 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$18 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$9 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$9 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +19%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $162 −$159 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$45 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$11 +42%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $26 +$15 +57%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 −$35 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 31 $50 −$49 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 31 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 31 $27 +$14 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 31 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 31 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 31 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 31 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 31 $23 +$33 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 31 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 31 $5 +$7 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 31 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 31 $21 +$33 +156%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06 BUY 9¢ $30 3d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06- BUY 8¢ $21 4d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06- BUY 7¢ $1 4d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14 BUY 8¢ $30 4d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 4d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $7 4d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $22 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $14 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $14 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 277 history records