Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbad…9c95
sports · 71 markets active 22h ago
0.0score
−$290,692 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$212,075 · open −$82,213
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$779,011
Realized−$212,075
Unrealized−$82,213
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses29 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$28,954
Open positions22
Markets (closed)61 / 71
History coverage65d
Avg bet$75,665
Trades / day49.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 22 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40,500
7 days−$2,278
14 days−$37,041
30 days−$20,815
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50¢ 98¢ $162,500 $319,638 +$157,138 (+97%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 69¢ 99¢ $118,241 $169,563 +$51,321 (+43%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 80¢ 88¢ $50,853 $55,420 +$4,567 (+9%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 54¢ 88¢ $29,956 $48,176 +$18,220 (+61%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 58¢ 64¢ $34,385 $37,857 +$3,471 (+10%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 81¢ 90¢ $24,300 $27,150 +$2,850 (+12%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No 79¢ 94¢ $18,550 $22,053 +$3,504 (+19%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 61¢ 56¢ $15,878 $14,533 −$1,345 (-8%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes 41¢ 57¢ $10,309 $14,253 +$3,943 (+38%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 60¢ 66¢ $9,850 $10,917 +$1,067 (+11%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 69¢ 78¢ $8,343 $9,425 +$1,083 (+13%)
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes 29¢ 22¢ $10,235 $7,939 −$2,296 (-22%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No 76¢ 99¢ $6,080 $7,932 +$1,852 (+30%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 52¢ 29¢ $10,529 $5,817 −$4,712 (-45%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 50¢ 2¢ $162,500 $5,362 −$157,138 (-97%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 48¢ 70¢ $3,121 $4,577 +$1,455 (+47%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 52¢ 18¢ $11,805 $4,188 −$7,616 (-65%)
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No 57¢ 84¢ $2,491 $3,689 +$1,197 (+48%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 34¢ 15¢ $6,876 $3,097 −$3,779 (-55%)
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No 87¢ 99¢ $2,610 $2,979 +$369 (+14%)
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 34¢ 23¢ $2,550 $1,725 −$825 (-32%)
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes 61¢ 81¢ $1,220 $1,630 +$410 (+34%)
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No 70¢ 84¢ $905 $1,092 +$187 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $40,500 −$40,500 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 09 $39,000 +$36,000 +92%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $114,665 +$124,725 +109%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $26,974 −$26,974 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 07 $30,000 −$30,000 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $37,275 +$10,513 +28%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $2,076 −$2,076 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $535 +$628 +117%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 06 $74,624 −$74,595 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 01 $51,300 −$51,300 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $62,236 +$17,737 +28%
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma May 30 $180 −$180 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) May 30 $55,186 $0 +0%
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, May 30 $12,299 +$2,700 +22%
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims) May 30 $345 +$97 +28%
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims) May 30 $3,825 −$3,817 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 28 $23,200 +$16,800 +72%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech May 27 $23,859 −$23,859 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang May 27 $1,561 +$1,599 +102%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Xiyu Wang May 22 $2,496 +$1,735 +70%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Panna Udvardy vs Anhelina Kalinina May 22 $8,761 −$8,761 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Li May 22 $44,805 −$44,805 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 May 21 $535 +$474 +89%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 20 $12,855 −$12,855 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 May 18 $34,500 +$40,500 +117%
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 May 18 $22,500 −$22,500 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai May 17 $80,500 −$80,500 -100%
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry May 17 $56,650 +$39,367 +70%
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main C May 17 $48,298 +$107,502 +223%
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Preli May 17 $68,250 +$106,750 +156%
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) May 17 $87,000 +$63,000 +72%
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight May 17 $72,000 −$71,920 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) May 17 $72,000 −$71,800 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? May 16 $24,500 −$24,500 -100%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 12 $41,000 +$9,000 +22%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 11 $39,500 −$39,500 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? May 11 $46,825 −$46,825 -100%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) May 11 $47,158 −$47,158 -100%
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) May 11 $92,775 +$63,100 +68%
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) May 10 $20,557 +$55,580 +270%
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims) May 10 $104,000 −$104,000 -100%
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims) May 10 $5,550 −$5,550 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? May 10 $46,000 −$46,000 -100%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? May 09 $6,400 +$18,585 +290%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martina Trevisan vs Talia Gibson May 05 $10 +$6 +59%
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo May 02 $5,842 +$2,669 +46%
Sabres vs. Bruins Apr 27 $39,000 −$39,000 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? Apr 23 $11,430 +$1,708 +15%
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Ca Apr 19 $6,347 +$4,659 +73%
UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Preli Apr 19 $16,227 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 56% −$142,332
sports 34% −$132,780
other 5% +$74,290
world 4% −$98,038
finance 0% +$4,571
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 54¢ $40,500 21h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $18 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $12 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $13 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $16 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $12 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $13 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $49 45h
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 45h
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $1,106 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 52¢ $39,000 3d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 47¢ $47,000 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 48¢ $1,167 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 48¢ $201 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 48¢ $185 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 48¢ $9 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 48¢ $240 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 48¢ $9 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Gabriel Bonfim 48¢ $923 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -17.0% -24.9% 44% 44% -10.1%
≤30d 34 -8.9% -17.6% 47% 47% -11.0%
≤90d 61 -0.7% -10.2% 48% 48% -18.6%
all 61 -0.7% -10.2% 48% 48% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 48% -18.6%
10% -18.8% 43% -26.4%
15% ← realistic here -26.6% 38% -33.5%
20% -33.8% 36% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $779,010.95 · official $779,013.65 (match) · 3500 history records