| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
Jan 27 |
$4,999 |
−$77 |
-2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Jan 27 |
$4,400 |
−$100 |
-2% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Jan 27 |
$2,000 |
−$52 |
-3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Jan 27 |
$6,000 |
+$34 |
+1% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? |
Jan 14 |
$3,000 |
−$17 |
-1% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025? |
Jan 05 |
$3,000 |
+$11 |
+0% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025? |
Jan 05 |
$1,488 |
+$15 |
+1% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025? |
Jan 05 |
$2,105 |
+$52 |
+2% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? |
Jan 05 |
$7,660 |
+$37 |
+0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025? |
Dec 30 |
$767 |
−$754 |
-98% |
| GPT ads by December 31? |
Dec 18 |
$10,805 |
+$213 |
+2% |
| Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31? |
Dec 18 |
$2,500 |
+$43 |
+2% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31? |
Dec 18 |
$5,000 |
+$83 |
+2% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15? |
Dec 16 |
$7,575 |
−$923 |
-12% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? |
Dec 11 |
$11,833 |
+$3,359 |
+28% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13? |
Dec 11 |
$14,838 |
+$3,260 |
+22% |
| Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31? |
Dec 10 |
$1,213 |
−$10 |
-1% |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025? |
Dec 10 |
$1,000 |
−$3 |
-0% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9? |
Dec 10 |
$15,558 |
−$5,996 |
-38% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025? |
Dec 08 |
$10,000 |
+$43 |
+0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025? |
Dec 06 |
$70 |
−$70 |
-100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? |
Dec 06 |
$5,161 |
−$5,159 |
-100% |
| OpenAI acquired in 2025? |
Dec 05 |
$2,000 |
−$8 |
-0% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? |
Dec 04 |
$7,848 |
+$48 |
+1% |
| Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025? |
Dec 04 |
$500 |
−$1 |
-0% |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025? |
Dec 03 |
$2,965 |
+$17 |
+1% |
| Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year? |
Dec 03 |
$2,000 |
+$9 |
+0% |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? |
Dec 03 |
$400 |
+$25 |
+6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? |
Dec 01 |
$7,940 |
+$153 |
+2% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? |
Nov 19 |
$40,752 |
+$10,085 |
+25% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? |
Nov 14 |
$32,276 |
+$8,456 |
+26% |
| Jazz vs. Celtics |
Nov 04 |
$600 |
+$41 |
+7% |
| Bucks vs. Pacers |
Nov 04 |
$200 |
+$30 |
+15% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) |
Nov 02 |
$1,355 |
+$145 |
+11% |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025? |
Nov 02 |
$5,100 |
+$120 |
+2% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) |
Nov 01 |
$31,350 |
+$285 |
+1% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? |
Nov 01 |
$29,338 |
+$2,328 |
+8% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? |
Oct 21 |
$11,018 |
+$18,320 |
+166% |
| OpenAI browser in 2025? |
Oct 20 |
$3,619 |
+$121 |
+3% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15? |
Oct 11 |
$47 |
+$37 |
+79% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on October 5 |
Oct 06 |
$1,275 |
+$12 |
+1% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3? |
Oct 05 |
$500 |
+$3 |
+0% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3? |
Oct 05 |
$2,875 |
+$185 |
+6% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? |
Oct 03 |
$20 |
−$2 |
-8% |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30? |
Oct 01 |
$5 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30? |
Oct 01 |
$4 |
+$1 |
+12% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30? |
Oct 01 |
$5 |
$0 |
+10% |
| OpenAI social app in 2025? |
Oct 01 |
$9,380 |
+$4,641 |
+50% |
| US government shutdown by October 1? |
Sep 29 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| OpenAI browser by September 30? |
Sep 28 |
$902 |
+$4 |
+0% |