Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdba1…8425
crypto · 109 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses73 / 34
Open positions2
Markets (closed)107 / 109
History coverage5d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day40.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 107 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$2 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$6
other 1% $0
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -8.3% -17.0% 68% 42% -10.1%
≤30d 107 -8.3% -17.0% 68% 42% -10.1%
≤90d 107 -8.3% -17.0% 68% 42% -10.1%
all 107 -8.3% -17.0% 68% 42% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 42% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 26% -18.7%
15% -32.2% 17% -26.6%
20% -38.8% 10% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.94 · official $6.94 (match) · 250 history records