Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb98…0f80
crypto · 602 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,078 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,078 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$1,078
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses400 / 201
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)601 / 602
History coverage40d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day84.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 601 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days+$76
14 days−$374
30 days−$647
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026? No 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
between 39 and 41 million views Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's video get between 67 and 68 million views on week 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026? No 7¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026? No 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $162 +$8 +5%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June Jun 12 $20 −$15 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $135 +$5 +4%
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $46 −$39 -85%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $218 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$35 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $37 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $53 +$3 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $63 −$13 -20%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $21 −$15 -73%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -95%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 −$9 -88%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 Jun 09 $167 −$29 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $103 −$1 -1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $23 −$19 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$16 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $126 +$3 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $47 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $153 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $221 −$30 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $17 +$2 +12%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $173 +$348 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1PM ET Jun 07 $20 +$1 +6%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $180 −$99 -55%
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 05 $17 −$14 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 05 $88 −$32 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $40 −$30 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $10 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 03 $28 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 03 $52 −$20 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 03 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 03 $282 −$246 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $183 +$9 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$1,299
other 10% +$23
politics 4% +$147
sports 3% −$48
culture 1% +$102
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $20 14m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $55 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 86¢ $14 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 86¢ $31 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $45 1h
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June SELL Yes 20¢ $5 1h
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June BUY Yes 79¢ $20 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 92¢ $9 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 91¢ $57 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 91¢ $13 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 89¢ $108 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $69 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $28 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -18.1% -25.9% 59% 10% -6.6%
≤30d 362 -11.0% -19.5% 66% 20% -14.7%
≤90d 601 -10.0% -18.5% 67% 20% -13.9%
all 601 -10.0% -18.5% 67% 20% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 20% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 8% -22.2%
15% -33.4% 4% -29.7%
20% -40.0% 3% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.97 · official $19.97 (match) · 3500 history records