Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T02:59:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb94…c7e4 crypto 557 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$359 (-1%) realized −$359 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate73%407W / 150L
Whale WR95%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$109per market
Trades / day55.1pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days+$75
14 days−$912
30 days−$731
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$750
other 1% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -9.4% -18.0% 64% 48% -6.8%
≤30d 557 -3.0% -12.3% 73% 31% -10.6%
≤90d 557 -3.0% -12.3% 73% 31% -10.6%
all 557 -3.0% -12.3% 73% 31% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 31% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 25% -19.2%
15% -28.3% 22% -27.0%
20% -35.3% 20% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 95% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$33 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$359
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses407 / 150
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)557 / 557
History coverage23d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day55.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 557 Trades
no open positions (120 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $47 −$20 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 21 $88 +$28 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 21 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 21 $17 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 21 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$23 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 20 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 20 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $51 +$32 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $100 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $250 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $93 +$57 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 19 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $52 +$37 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$12 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $67 +$34 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $132 −$9 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$21 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $76 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $56 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $52 +$40 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7PM ET Jun 16 $61 +$23 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $18 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $18 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $76 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $51 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $51 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $19 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1640 history records