Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:11:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb91…7db6
sports · 403 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$1,157 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,257 · open −$100
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,257
Unrealized−$100
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses225 / 177
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$244
Open positions1
Markets (closed)402 / 403
History coverage146d
Avg bet$137
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 402 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$300
14 days−$201
30 days−$174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 24¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Team Heretics 5¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Fnatic 15¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 4¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Disguised 4¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 11¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage Sentinels 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage Dignitas 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Solary 75¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 35¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
LoL: Witchcraft vs Baam Esports - Game 1 Winner Baam Esports 11¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner GIANTX 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 10¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Team Vitality 15¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Invictus Gaming 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 47¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Fnatic 35¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Karmine Corp Blue 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 23¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $308 −$300 -97%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $150 +$99 +66%
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner May 27 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $48 +$96 +199%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner May 25 $101 +$31 +30%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner May 03 $204 −$200 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner May 03 $203 −$200 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner May 03 $184 −$180 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner May 03 $101 +$37 +37%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 02 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 02 $51 +$155 +303%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 02 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner May 02 $102 +$12 +12%
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Apr 30 $204 +$178 +88%
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Apr 30 $201 +$65 +32%
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifie Apr 30 $201 +$7 +4%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qual Apr 29 $304 +$80 +26%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $101 +$44 +43%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $87 −$11 -13%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner Apr 29 $101 +$33 +33%
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Apr 29 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $50 +$10 +20%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $100 +$29 +29%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $300 +$229 +76%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $371 +$53 +14%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $165 −$15 -9%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $37 +$47 +128%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 25 $330 +$7 +2%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 25 $150 −$49 -33%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $179 +$88 +49%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Apr 25 $100 −$99 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $60 −$58 -97%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $150 +$50 +34%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Apr 25 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 24 $362 +$48 +13%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $54 +$24 +44%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Apr 24 $90 +$43 +47%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $100 +$36 +36%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 24 $48 +$8 +16%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $168 +$86 +51%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $200 −$194 -97%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Apr 24 $100 −$98 -98%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $100 −$98 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $70 −$69 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Apr 23 $70 +$64 +91%
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Apr 23 $100 +$199 +199%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Apr 23 $100 −$97 -97%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Apr 23 $100 −$98 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$1,213
crypto 1% −$48
other 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $51 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 35¢ $51 1h
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 4¢ $103 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 10¢ $103 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 8¢ $103 5d
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $249 11d
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 48¢ $49 11d
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 67¢ $101 11d
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 30¢ $102 16d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 86¢ $123 17d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 29¢ $48 17d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $131 18d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner BUY G2 Esports 76¢ $101 18d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 35¢ $204 40d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 44¢ $203 40d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 10¢ $83 40d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 38¢ $102 40d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner SELL Shifters 94¢ $138 40d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner BUY Shifters 68¢ $101 40d
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season BUY SK Gaming 50¢ $51 41d
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL SK Gaming 99¢ $206 41d
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY SK Gaming 24¢ $51 41d
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY SK Gaming 25¢ $102 41d
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 36¢ $114 41d
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 31¢ $102 41d
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff SELL Solary 75¢ $382 43d
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $266 43d
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 75¢ $201 43d
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff BUY Solary 39¢ $204 43d
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifie SELL Team Vitality 90¢ $208 43d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 5 +19.1% +7.8% 60% 60% -32.0%
≤90d 144 +5.3% -4.7% 57% 53% -8.1%
all 402 +1.4% -8.3% 56% 51% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 51% -7.4%
10% -17.0% 43% -16.3%
15% -25.1% 34% -24.4%
20% -32.4% 25% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.21 · official $0.21 (match) · 907 history records