Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb85…152f
sports · 488 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26,227 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,872 · open −$2,355
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71,195
Realized−$23,872
Unrealized−$2,355
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses194 / 288
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$59,652
Open positions6
Markets (closed)482 / 488
History coverage73d
Avg bet$11,238
Trades / day17.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 6 History 482 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$218,780
7 days+$137,810
14 days−$64,062
30 days+$218,297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 61¢ $25,000 $31,122 +$6,122 (+24%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 48¢ 66¢ $15,000 $20,625 +$5,625 (+38%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $10,000 $10,016 +$16 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 31¢ 30¢ $5,000 $4,919 −$81 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 32¢ 41¢ $3,550 $4,498 +$948 (+27%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $15,000 $13 −$14,987 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $9,854 $0 −$9,854 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 58¢ 0¢ $5,799 $0 −$5,799 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $4,300 $0 −$4,300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 36¢ 0¢ $10,414 $0 −$10,414 (-100%)
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) Deiveson Figueiredo 19¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Spurs 52¢ 0¢ $25,000 $0 −$25,000 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 57¢ 0¢ $2,032 $0 −$2,032 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 27¢ 0¢ $4,084 $0 −$4,084 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 53¢ 0¢ $20,000 $0 −$20,000 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $100,000 $0 −$100,000 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 54¢ 0¢ $10,800 $0 −$10,800 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10,135 +$8,047 +79%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $71,302 +$112,909 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $52,465 +$19,999 +38%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $20,336 −$20,000 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 11 $15,265 −$15,000 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $10,158 −$10,000 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $514 −$500 -97%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $3,065 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21,022 +$10,691 +51%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $21,022 +$10,724 +51%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $15,793 +$10,522 +67%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $10,509 −$10,000 -95%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $101,509 +$99,764 +98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,174 −$3,000 -94%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $7,421 +$7,625 +103%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $20,282 −$20,000 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $20,294 −$20,000 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $50,795 −$50,000 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $101,491 −$100,000 -98%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 10 $1,195 +$1,998 +167%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $20,282 +$17,454 +86%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $15,243 −$15,000 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $5,087 −$5,000 -98%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $3,060 −$3,000 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $25,374 −$25,000 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $15,222 −$15,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15,216 +$14,233 +94%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 09 $10,134 −$9,991 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $10,138 −$10,000 -99%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $10,156 +$10,677 +105%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5,062 +$3,456 +68%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $15,314 −$15,000 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $5,120 +$19,880 +388%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $4,140 +$6,812 +165%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $5,056 +$2,889 +57%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $15,225 −$15,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15,242 −$15,000 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $141,138 +$154,456 +109%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $30,473 +$32,740 +107%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 08 $25,457 −$25,000 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 08 $25,366 −$24,976 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 08 $157 −$155 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $25,371 −$25,000 -98%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 08 $1,234 −$1,222 -99%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $2,049 −$2,032 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $15,870 −$15,000 -94%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10,803 −$10,414 -96%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20,360 +$29,640 +146%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $9,403 −$9,400 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20,329 −$20,000 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$129,864
other 26% +$120,637
world 0% −$17,000
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $5,303 7m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 32¢ $3,764 18m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 55¢ $10,135 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 48¢ $15,234 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $15,198 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $50,930 13h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 44¢ $20,336 16h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $15,265 16h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 49¢ $25,382 16h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10,150 16h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 47¢ $10,158 16h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $514 16h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 28¢ $3,065 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $20,372 16h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $52,465 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $21,022 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $21,022 22h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 64¢ $10,509 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 40¢ $3,174 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 57¢ $15,793 26h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 50¢ $53,449 35h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 49¢ $48,061 35h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 47¢ $7,421 36h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 53¢ $20,282 2d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 51¢ $20,294 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $50,795 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 50¢ $86,854 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 52¢ $14,636 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 46¢ $15,243 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 42¢ $5,087 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -12.2% -20.5% 44% 44% -1.9%
≤30d 204 -9.5% -18.2% 43% 43% -3.2%
≤90d 482 -14.2% -22.4% 40% 40% -9.8%
all 482 -14.2% -22.4% 40% 40% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.1 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 40% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 40% -18.4%
15% -36.6% 39% -26.3%
20% -42.8% 37% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71,194.91 · official $71,194.91 (match) · 1580 history records