Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:41:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb83…1e50
sports · 165 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16,308 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,570 · open −$5,738
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 134 History 377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,570
7 days−$10,570
14 days−$10,570
30 days−$10,570
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ 65¢ $9,990 $12,542 +$2,552 (+26%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $12,535 $12,503 −$32 (-0%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 54¢ $9,034 $9,294 +$261 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage ex-RUBY 63¢ 100¢ $5,447 $8,689 +$3,243 (+60%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $7,544 $7,317 −$227 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 51¢ 52¢ $6,103 $6,310 +$207 (+3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $5,383 $5,380 −$3 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $5,203 $5,153 −$50 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $4,445 $4,505 +$60 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 57¢ 58¢ $4,377 $4,440 +$63 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 49¢ 100¢ $1,639 $3,316 +$1,677 (+102%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 62¢ $3,159 $3,167 +$8 (+0%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 75¢ 76¢ $2,722 $2,758 +$36 (+1%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 72¢ 100¢ $1,947 $2,685 +$738 (+38%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 46¢ 46¢ $2,301 $2,303 +$2 (+0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 32¢ $1,948 $1,919 −$29 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 55¢ 96¢ $1,076 $1,884 +$808 (+75%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 78¢ 78¢ $1,861 $1,873 +$12 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 53¢ 100¢ $987 $1,856 +$869 (+88%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $1,754 $1,717 −$38 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $1,553 $1,564 +$11 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No 10¢ $1,285 $1,357 +$71 (+6%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 53¢ 64¢ $1,113 $1,349 +$236 (+21%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 57¢ 68¢ $1,020 $1,227 +$207 (+20%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $1,177 $1,184 +$7 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $60 +$48 +80%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Jana Kovackova vs Amandine Monnot Jun 12 $29 +$2 +6%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 12 $51 −$20 -40%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $6 −$2 -40%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +54%
Rosenborg BK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +49%
Spread: Smouha SC (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will RCA Zemamra vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Mexico vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Maria Lourdes Car Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +10%
Gainare Tottori vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Jun 12 $0 $0 +178%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $0 +$8,270 +7891170%
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1,057 −$1,057 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstat Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Will América FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
ITF Bol: Miriam Bulgaru vs Iva Primorac Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Sumter: Martina Okalova vs Sahaja Yamalapalli Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Rec Jun 12 $333 −$333 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Reci Jun 12 $461 −$461 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) Jun 12 $372 −$372 -100%
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$4,201
other 43% +$9,566
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 32¢ $2 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 50¢ $22 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 85¢ $4 0m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Under 25¢ $0 1m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Under 25¢ $1 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 88¢ $64 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 88¢ $16 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 88¢ $77 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 88¢ $19 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 88¢ $12 1m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 54¢ $11 2m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 54¢ $10 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $23 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $26 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $4 3m
Canada leading at halftime? BUY No 62¢ $16 4m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 51¢ $3 4m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 35¢ $1 6m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 35¢ $4 6m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 34¢ $2 6m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 44¢ $4 6m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 49¢ $3 6m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 58¢ $0 7m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 58¢ $5 7m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 58¢ $5 7m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 60¢ $9 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 60¢ $6 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 61¢ $26 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 61¢ $3 8m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 61¢ $31 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-51.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 377 -45.9% -51.0% 16% 15% -27.4%
≤30d 377 -45.9% -51.0% 16% 15% -27.4%
≤90d 377 -45.9% -51.0% 16% 15% -27.4%
all 377 -45.9% -51.0% 16% 15% -27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3423.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -51.0% 15% -27.4%
10% ← realistic here -55.7% 13% -34.3%
15% -60.0% 11% -40.7%
20% -63.9% 9% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $130,677.32 · official $130,667.25 (match) · 3500 history records