Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:30:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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DB 0xdb7e…4e40 crypto 1946 markets active 11h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$314 (-3%) realized −$314 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate54%1019W / 877L
Drawdown91%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day68.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$505
7 days−$442
14 days−$351
30 days+$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$571
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 -45.1% -50.3% 31% 31% -66.1%
≤30d 947 +0.9% -8.7% 57% 56% -8.5%
≤90d 1896 -0.4% -9.9% 54% 50% -9.0%
all 1896 -0.4% -9.9% 54% 50% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 50% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 48% -17.7%
15% -26.4% 45% -25.7%
20% -33.6% 41% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$314
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses1019 / 877
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1896 / 1946
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day68.4
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1896 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder Jun 17 $2 −$3 -140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records