Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T19:01:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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DB 0xdb7a…b8bd crypto 1128 markets active 1h ago coverage 46d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 46d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$191 (+3%) realized +$191 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate51%575W / 554L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day24.2pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$36
14 days−$60
30 days−$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$284
other 6% +$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 -20.7% -28.2% 42% 42% -26.0%
≤30d 754 -5.8% -14.8% 51% 51% -12.1%
≤90d 1129 -5.6% -14.6% 51% 51% -13.0%
all 1129 -5.6% -14.6% 51% 51% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 51% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 51% -21.4%
15% -30.2% 51% -29.0%
20% -37.1% 51% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

46d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$191
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses575 / 554
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1129 / 1128
History coverage46d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1129 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +83%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 29h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records