Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T06:43:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb79…2746 crypto 103 markets active 0h ago coverage 18d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$123 (-3%) realized −$123 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate51%53W / 50L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day30.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$125
14 days−$212
30 days−$296
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$296
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -19.1% -26.8% 46% 12% -20.5%
≤30d 103 -15.7% -23.8% 51% 14% -17.1%
≤90d 103 -15.7% -23.8% 51% 14% -17.1%
all 103 -15.7% -23.8% 51% 14% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 14% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 5% -25.1%
15% -37.7% 1% -32.3%
20% -43.8% 0% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$8 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.26 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses53 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)103 / 103
History coverage18d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 103 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $62 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $82 −$9 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $82 −$20 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $62 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$20 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $77 −$38 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $67 −$19 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $72 −$24 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $42 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $134 −$13 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $41 +$9 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $52 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $41 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $132 −$62 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $173 +$17 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $48 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 07 $140 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 07 $88 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $44 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $125 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 07 $37 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 07 $69 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $58 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $69 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $112 −$50 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $143 −$13 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $232 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 07 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 07 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 07 $28 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 07 $12 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 06 $14 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 06 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 06 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 31 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 31 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 31 $7 +$1 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 574 history records