Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb69…855d
crypto · 1459 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$281 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$281 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$281
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1333 / 125
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1458 / 1459
History coverage7d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day291.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1458 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$289
14 days−$281
30 days−$281
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 96¢ 98¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$21 +195%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$211
sports 1% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 96¢ $15 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1373 -1.8% -11.2% 92% 1% -11.0%
≤30d 1458 -1.6% -11.0% 91% 1% -11.0%
≤90d 1458 -1.6% -11.0% 91% 1% -11.0%
all 1458 -1.6% -11.0% 91% 1% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover291.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 1% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 1% -19.5%
15% -27.3% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.95 · official $24.95 (match) · 3500 history records