Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:45:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb58…6295
sports · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$146 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$113
Realized−$129
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$129
7 days−$129
14 days−$129
30 days−$129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 40¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 41¢ 40¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Over 6¢ 3¢ $30 $13 −$17 (-56%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $236 −$129 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $41 59m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $31 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $31 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 BUY Over 6¢ $31 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 3¢ $26 10h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 12¢ $31 11h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 16¢ $103 11h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 14¢ $81 11h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 17¢ $102 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-59.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -54.7% -59.0% 0% 0% -59.0%
≤30d 1 -54.7% -59.0% 0% 0% -59.0%
≤90d 1 -54.7% -59.0% 0% 0% -59.0%
all 1 -54.7% -59.0% 0% 0% -59.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -59.0% 0% -59.0%
10% -62.9% 0% -62.9%
15% -66.5% 0% -66.5%
20% -69.8% 0% -69.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $112.79 · official $112.84 (match) · 9 history records