Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:51:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb55…51dd sports 340 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (131 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$8,177 (+2%) realized +$7,793 · open +$384
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate69%259W / 115L
Whale WR79%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,415per market
Trades / day131.2pace
Fees−$4,113est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$2,276now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 26d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% +$364
other 0% +$130
crypto 0% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (131 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -21.1% -28.6% 62% 25% -14.8%
≤30d 374 -11.0% -19.5% 69% 36% -12.9%
≤90d 374 -11.0% -19.5% 69% 36% -12.9%
all 374 -11.0% -19.5% 69% 36% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover131.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 36% -12.9%
10% -27.2% 17% -21.2%
15% ← realistic here -34.2% 9% -28.8%
20% -40.7% 6% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 79% (≥$1,781) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$250 vs −$722 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$2,276
Realized+$7,793
Unrealized+$384
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses259 / 115
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$4,113
Open positions2
Markets (closed)374 / 340
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$1,415
Trades / day131.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 374 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs Team Refuser 85¢ 95¢ $1,473 $1,646 +$173 (+12%)
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner Team Refuser 63¢ 95¢ $419 $631 +$211 (+50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 97 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $481 −$481 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers Jun 17 $139 −$139 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $885 −$885 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $658 −$656 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $695 −$691 -99%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $2,260 −$2,260 -100%
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $402 −$402 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q Jun 17 $1,120 −$1,120 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 17 $0 −$1 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,025 −$1,025 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $636 −$636 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $650 −$650 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $330 −$330 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $46 −$46 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $962 −$962 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Jun 17 $175 −$183 -105%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $166 −$166 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 17 $694 −$697 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $924 −$924 -100%
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $202 −$202 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 17 $1,145 −$1,145 -100%
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $233 −$233 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,555 −$1,555 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 17 $191 −$191 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $761 −$761 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $1,599 −$1,599 -100%
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $117 −$117 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $90 −$90 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5 Jun 17 $116 −$116 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $15 −$13 -83%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $524 +$54 +10%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South Americ Jun 16 $4,774 +$519 +11%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $2,352 +$399 +17%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $2,209 +$560 +25%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $2,674 +$205 +8%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos (BO3) - The International South Amer Jun 16 $2,761 +$180 +6%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Lindorfitos - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $1,176 +$59 +5%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $1,171 −$1,165 -100%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Jun 16 $931 −$821 -88%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Grou Jun 16 $1,687 −$1,684 -100%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $4,356 −$378 -9%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $1,225 +$253 +21%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $2,870 −$488 -17%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Chin Jun 16 $414 +$77 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 96¢ $482 5m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 96¢ $6 7m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 96¢ $23 8m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 96¢ $10 8m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 96¢ $148 8m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 96¢ $250 9m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $297 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $2 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $5 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $300 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $2 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $100 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $100 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $100 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $1 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $100 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Refuser 95¢ $58 11m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Refuser 100¢ $578 53m
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Refuser 90¢ $9 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Refuser 90¢ $9 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Refuser 90¢ $17 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Refuser 90¢ $18 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 80¢ $433 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 80¢ $44 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Refuser 90¢ $54 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Refuser 90¢ $17 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 80¢ $8 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 80¢ $82 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 80¢ $8 1h
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl BUY Team Refuser 80¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,276.39 · official $2,276.39 (match) · 3500 history records