Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T04:36:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
DB 0xdb50…e61d crypto 96 markets active 1h ago coverage 172d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$55 (+0%) realized +$55 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate91%87W / 9L
Drawdown53%max
Avg bet$242per market
Trades / day1.2pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$48
world 3% +$2
politics 1% $0
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -1.7% -11.1% 75% 0% -12.7%
≤30d 18 -2.3% -11.6% 83% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 52 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 0% -9.3%
all 96 +0.0% -9.5% 91% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.61 per $1 lost it wins $1.61
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

172d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses87 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)96 / 96
History coverage172d
Avg bet$242
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 96 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana reach $80 on June 21? Jun 22 $458 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $60 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 in June? Jun 15 $435 −$37 -8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? Jun 15 $60 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $59 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7? Jun 06 $488 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? Jun 04 $486 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $482 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3? Jun 03 $482 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2? Jun 02 $433 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $46 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1? Jun 01 $430 +$3 +1%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $85 −$38 -45%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29? May 29 $514 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27? May 27 $512 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26? May 26 $509 +$3 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24? May 25 $219 +$6 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24? May 25 $276 +$9 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18? May 18 $494 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $110 May 11-17? May 18 $43 +$2 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17? May 18 $307 +$9 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17? May 18 $129 +$4 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 11? May 12 $478 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11? May 11 $477 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10? May 11 $469 +$7 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3? May 05 $462 +$3 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April? May 01 $95 +$2 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? May 01 $361 +$9 +2%
Will Solana dip to $65 on April 20? Apr 21 $7 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $70 on April 20? Apr 21 $448 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19? Apr 20 $169 +$2 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 April 13-19? Apr 20 $280 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 17? Apr 17 $449 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 16? Apr 17 $448 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 15? Apr 16 $183 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 15? Apr 16 $265 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 15? Apr 16 $447 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on April 14? Apr 15 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 14? Apr 15 $83 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 14? Apr 15 $170 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14? Apr 15 $184 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 13? Apr 14 $446 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12? Apr 13 $441 +$4 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 10? Apr 11 $438 +$3 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 9? Apr 11 $437 +$1 +0%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 10 $436 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7? Apr 08 $435 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 6? Apr 06 $434 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? Apr 06 $432 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 30-April 5? Apr 02 $429 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana reach $80 on June 21? BUY No 100¢ $458 1h
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 85¢ $100 6d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 84¢ $2 6d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 84¢ $97 6d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 85¢ $1 6d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 85¢ $29 6d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 85¢ $170 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $60 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $10 10d
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? BUY No 98¢ $49 10d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $60 10d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $59 11d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? BUY No 92¢ $23 13d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? BUY No 92¢ $94 14d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? BUY No 93¢ $186 14d
Will Solana reach $90 in June? BUY No 93¢ $133 15d
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7? SELL No 100¢ $495 15d
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7? BUY No 98¢ $94 17d
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7? BUY No 98¢ $148 17d
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7? BUY No 99¢ $99 17d
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7? BUY No 99¢ $148 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? SELL Yes 100¢ $278 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? SELL Yes 100¢ $150 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4? BUY Yes 100¢ $484 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? SELL No 100¢ $398 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? SELL No 100¢ $89 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 280 history records