Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb46…56e7
sports · 898 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,311 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,276 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$379
Realized−$1,276
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses396 / 484
Est. fees paid−$104
Open positions80
Markets (closed)880 / 898
Avg bet$8
Trades / day613.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 80 History 880 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,446
7 days−$1,276
14 days−$1,276
30 days−$1,276
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 49¢ 100¢ $8 $16 +$8 (+103%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Over 69¢ 37¢ $23 $12 −$11 (-46%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 30¢ 58¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+95%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner T1 49¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+104%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 48¢ 74¢ $6 $10 +$3 (+54%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 34¢ 48¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+42%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 47¢ 50¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+5%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 46¢ 46¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 67¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+50%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Harmony Tan 46¢ 46¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 51¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+95%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 48¢ 46¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 41¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+144%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 67¢ 68¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+2%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Oriol Roca Batalla 32¢ 43¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 50¢ 64¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 64¢ 64¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+101%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 50¢ 50¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 32¢ 32¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner FURIA 54¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+85%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 51¢ 35¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-32%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 54¢ 55¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 41¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
World Championships: USA vs. Germany Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Dplus qualify for EWC 2026? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fa Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Arango (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$1,597
other 4% +$43
crypto 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 59¢ $1 0m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 43¢ $1 0m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $1 2m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $1 3m
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) BUY Paper Rex 42¢ $1 3m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY Natus Vincere 43¢ $1 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 55¢ $1 6m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 59¢ $1 6m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 60¢ $1 8m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 54¢ $1 9m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 43¢ $1 11m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 11m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 46¢ $1 15m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 55¢ $1 16m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 54¢ $1 17m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 22m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 56¢ $1 22m
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) BUY Minaur 54¢ $1 22m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 51¢ $1 26m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 45¢ $1 27m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 43¢ $1 27m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $1 29m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 29m
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5) BUY Auger-Aliassime 46¢ $1 29m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $1 31m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 56¢ $1 33m
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5) BUY Auger-Aliassime 46¢ $1 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 50¢ $1 39m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 39m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 51¢ $1 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 880 -11.8% -20.2% 45% 43% -23.8%
≤30d 880 -11.8% -20.2% 45% 43% -23.8%
≤90d 880 -11.8% -20.2% 45% 43% -23.8%
all 880 -11.8% -20.2% 45% 43% -23.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover613.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 43% -23.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 39% -31.1%
15% -34.8% 34% -37.8%
20% -41.2% 28% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $378.72 · official $377.89 (match) · 3500 history records