Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:13:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb41…5d1b crypto 1037 markets active 1h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$677 (-1%) realized −$677 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate79%823W / 214L
Whale WR82%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day120.7pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$401
7 days−$206
14 days−$402
30 days−$797
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$848
sports 0% +$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -0.2% -9.7% 85% 36% -9.6%
≤30d 1037 -0.0% -9.6% 79% 38% -10.7%
≤90d 1037 -0.0% -9.6% 79% 38% -10.7%
all 1037 -0.0% -9.6% 79% 38% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover120.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 38% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 18% -19.2%
15% -26.1% 9% -27.0%
20% -33.4% 4% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 82% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$22 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$677
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses823 / 214
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1037 / 1037
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day120.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1037 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$16 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $79 −$33 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $46 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $39 +$9 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $32 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $91 −$90 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $86 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $68 +$18 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $62 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $41 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $63 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $96 +$25 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $201 −$192 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $232 +$29 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $223 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $198 +$28 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $174 +$24 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $168 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $161 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $132 +$27 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$31 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $85 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$26 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$11 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $374 −$372 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $351 +$17 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $286 +$71 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $310 −$26 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $299 +$12 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records