Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:06:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb3d…58f5
sports · 496 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$878 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$874 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$444
Realized−$874
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses261 / 209
Est. fees paid−$241
Open positions24
Markets (closed)470 / 496
History coverage21d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day141.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 24 History 470 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days−$1,218
14 days−$1,977
30 days−$874
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $159 $158 −$1 (-1%)
Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 31¢ 24¢ $93 $73 −$19 (-21%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 52¢ 100¢ $25 $49 +$24 (+94%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 11¢ 80¢ $5 $38 +$32 (+623%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 69¢ 68¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 66¢ 62¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 100¢ $6 $14 +$8 (+136%)
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 58¢ 60¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 56¢ 69¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+24%)
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 55¢ 60¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+9%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 79¢ 78¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 45¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Bebop 64¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Spirit 82¢ 83¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 37¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 52¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Spirit 58¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-13%)
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 30¢ 36¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+22%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) FURIA 35¢ 64¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+83%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 61¢ 16¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-73%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Leo Team 69¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 23¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) PARIVISION 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $25 +$20 +80%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 13 $1 +$2 +105%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $20 +$13 +65%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $115 −$115 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$4 +129%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $32 +$27 +86%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$14 +224%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 +$31 +181%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $39 +$62 +158%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$3 +276%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 +$6 +226%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$12 +414%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$7 +66%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $23 +$48 +204%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $2 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) Jun 12 $35 +$17 +48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +124%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $11 +$4 +35%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $18 +$19 +108%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $1 +$2 +172%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $13 +$5 +42%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$916
other 0% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 69¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 45¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $11 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 45¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 44¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $11 2h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY FURIA 35¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $12 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 39¢ $1 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 67¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $2 4h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 67¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $6 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 39¢ $3 4h
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) BUY PARIVISION 67¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $2 4h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 68¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $7 4h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) BUY Bebop 64¢ $1 4h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 69¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $7 4h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) BUY Bebop 64¢ $2 4h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $4 4h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 69¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 +4.5% -5.5% 52% 51% -30.9%
≤30d 470 +6.5% -3.6% 56% 54% -13.9%
≤90d 470 +6.5% -3.6% 56% 54% -13.9%
all 470 +6.5% -3.6% 56% 54% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover141.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 54% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 51% -22.1%
15% -21.3% 46% -29.6%
20% -29.0% 36% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $443.64 · official $443.64 (match) · 3500 history records