Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T17:08:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb35…b137 world 3 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care world specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (483 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$600per market
Trades / day483.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
world 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 2 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 2 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 2 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover483.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.3%
15% ← realistic here -26.4% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
80.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$600
Trades / day483.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 2 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? Jun 26 $1,093 −$1 -0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Jun 26 $83 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 16m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 17m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 17m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 17m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 17m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 17m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 17m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 17m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 17m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 18m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 18m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 18m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 19m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 19m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 19m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 19m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 20m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 20m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 20m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 21m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 21m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 21m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 21m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 21m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $8 22m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $8 23m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $1 24m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $1 26m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? BUY Yes $0 27m
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? SELL Yes $7 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 483 history records