Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb25…eb12
sports · 281 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,830 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,740 · open −$90
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,901
Realized−$18,740
Unrealized−$90
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses124 / 130
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$2,203
Open positions39
Markets (closed)254 / 281
History coverage6d
Avg bet$525
Trades / day545.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 39 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,514
7 days−$18,740
14 days−$18,740
30 days−$18,740
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 38¢ 38¢ $228 $231 +$3 (+1%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 59¢ 60¢ $198 $200 +$2 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 55¢ $132 $152 +$20 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $154 $150 −$4 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 14¢ 14¢ $151 $145 −$6 (-4%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 67¢ 60¢ $152 $135 −$17 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 32¢ $95 $93 −$1 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 55¢ 52¢ $77 $72 −$5 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 45¢ 50¢ $62 $69 +$7 (+11%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 35¢ $68 $68 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 38¢ $98 $65 −$33 (-33%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 19¢ 18¢ $45 $43 −$2 (-4%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Legacy 53¢ 55¢ $41 $42 +$1 (+3%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears Doosan Bears 57¢ 60¢ $40 $42 +$2 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A STATE 83¢ 80¢ $39 $38 −$1 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 50¢ 50¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score No 50¢ 52¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+3%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score No 57¢ 58¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+3%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Yes 32¢ 32¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 24¢ 26¢ $23 $24 +$2 (+7%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 52¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 48¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-5%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 48¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-8%)
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Leo Team 64¢ 64¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-1%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) G2 64¢ 50¢ $24 $19 −$5 (-23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Petrojet SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 12 $16 +$29 +178%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$1 -8%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $66 −$9 -14%
Map Handicap: Abyssal (-1.5) vs MARKandLARRY (+1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $422 −$422 -100%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $133 +$43 +32%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $24 +$42 +174%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $39 +$34 +88%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $22 −$1 -2%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $18 +$8 +47%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$28 +114%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $206 +$84 +41%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $41 +$32 +77%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $613 +$328 +54%
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) Jun 12 $36 +$49 +138%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$32 +64%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$33 +65%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $246 −$239 -97%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5,110 +$3,131 +61%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $73 +$6 +8%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$5 +51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $11 +$13 +114%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $12 +$20 +160%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $21 +$11 +49%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $27 +$22 +84%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 11 $60 +$48 +80%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$9 +76%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$6 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$18,829
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7 12m
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 64¢ $5 12m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $9 12m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $13 12m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $12 12m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $10 12m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $8 12m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $7 26m
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 64¢ $6 27m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $9 27m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $10 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7 27m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $12 27m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 40¢ $2 27m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $2 27m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $13 27m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 36¢ $9 27m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 51¢ $3 27m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) SELL G2 100¢ $45 27m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $9 42m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7 42m
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 64¢ $6 42m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 52¢ $3 42m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $13 42m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $2 42m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $12 42m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $11 42m
Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs OLDBOYS- (+1.5) BUY OLDBOYS- 75¢ $4 42m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $7 42m
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL G2 100¢ $176 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 254 +19.5% +8.1% 49% 48% -22.1%
≤30d 254 +19.5% +8.1% 49% 48% -22.1%
≤90d 254 +19.5% +8.1% 49% 48% -22.1%
all 254 +19.5% +8.1% 49% 48% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover545.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.1% 48% -22.1%
10% -2.2% 45% -29.6%
15% ← realistic here -11.7% 41% -36.4%
20% -20.3% 35% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,901.20 · official $1,900.46 (match) · 3500 history records