Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:01:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb1e…f465
crypto · 298 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses258 / 32
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)290 / 298
History coverage234d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 8 History 290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 96¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Over 95¢ 95¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Scotland 96¢ 95¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Brazil 96¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-30%)
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? No 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 6? No 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5 Yes 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Yes 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 11? No 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 28? No 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30? Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025? No 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026? Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 7? Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 7? Jun 08 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 6? Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7? Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$30
other 15% −$2
sports 13% −$3
politics 6% +$1
world 3% $0
weather 2% $0
culture 2% −$3
economics 1% $0
finance 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 96¢ $1 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 96¢ $1 6h
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac BUY No 96¢ $1 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 95¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 97¢ $1 10h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 96¢ $1 10h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 97¢ $1 19h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) BUY Canada 99¢ $1 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $1 24h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 99¢ $1 24h
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) BUY Czechia 95¢ $1 31h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? BUY No 98¢ $1 31h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $1 31h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa? BUY No 99¢ $1 34h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $1 34h
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? BUY No 98¢ $1 34h
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 34h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 2d
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) BUY Korea Republic 96¢ $1 2d
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) BUY Mexico 98¢ $1 2d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Up 99¢ $1 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? BUY No 96¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? BUY No 95¢ $1 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? BUY No 97¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 199 +0.1% -9.5% 98% 1% -9.9%
≤90d 270 -0.4% -9.9% 93% 1% -10.2%
all 290 -4.2% -13.3% 89% 2% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 2% -18.7%
10% -21.6% 0% -26.4%
15% -29.2% 0% -33.6%
20% -36.1% 0% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.95 · official $7.95 (match) · 594 history records