trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 100% | 0% | -6.8% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 100% | 0% | -6.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 79% | 21% | -5.4% |
| all | 15 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 80% | 20% | -5.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 20% | -5.4% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 0% | -14.5% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 0% | -22.7% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 0% | -30.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $98 | $98 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 66¢ | $4 | $3 | −$1 (-26%) |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 85¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-11%) |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 95¢ | 92¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 93¢ | 88¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 85¢ | 73¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants | May 04 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 202 | May 04 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W | May 04 | $140 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 A | May 04 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | May 01 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Sentio FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seat | Apr 29 | $8 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 | Apr 29 | $51 | +$11 | +21% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $7 | −$1 | -14% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $8 | −$1 | -15% |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Apr 06 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Apr 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Feb 25 | $1 | $0 | +5% |