Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:38:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
DB 0xdb17…3610 crypto 352 markets active 1h ago coverage 69d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$11 (+0%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%345W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day5.2pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$51now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$13
14 days+$26
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% +$10
other 10% −$15
finance 7% +$9
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +2.0% -7.7% 100% 0% -8.0%
≤30d 178 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 352 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 352 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$18 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$51
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses345 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)352 / 352
History coverage69d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 352 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 20 $13 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19? Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $23 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $15 6h
Solana Up or Down on June 19? BUY Up 99¢ $50 17h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19? BUY No 98¢ $10 17h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? BUY No 99¢ $30 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 45h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2d
BNB Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 99¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 92¢ $9 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? BUY No 98¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 99¢ $49 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? BUY No 99¢ $30 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $30 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $13 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $23 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.23 · official $51.00 (match) · 1747 history records