Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:26:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb04…7abf
crypto · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$51 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses6 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)17 / 20
History coverage137d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 3 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 94¢ $16 $19 +$2 (+14%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 24¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? No 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jan 30 $28 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jan 30 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jan 30 $33 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jan 30 $32 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jan 30 $9 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jan 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jan 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jan 30 $2 +$18 +890%
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? Jan 30 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10PM ET Jan 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9PM ET Jan 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jan 29 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jan 28 $24 +$3 +15%
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? Jan 28 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jan 28 $16 +$10 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% −$45
other 24% −$6
sports 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $17 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $28 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $33 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $14 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 134d
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? BUY No 5¢ $5 134d
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? BUY No 5¢ $1 134d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $9 135d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 135d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 135d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $15 135d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $28 136d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 17 +1.3% -8.4% 35% 24% -30.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 24% -30.0%
10% -17.1% 18% -36.7%
15% -25.1% 18% -42.8%
20% -32.5% 18% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.90 · official $39.90 (match) · 40 history records