Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:31:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb03…7152
world · 62 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$228 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses5 / 52
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions5
Markets (closed)57 / 62
History coverage24d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day13.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 5 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 50¢ 70¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 40¢ 17¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-58%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 50¢ 57¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No 50¢ 30¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-41%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 50¢ 84¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+68%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 50¢ 16¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-68%)
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes 50¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-96%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Liquid 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $11 $0 -1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 13 $93 −$1 -1%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $37 −$1 -2%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $24 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 13 $521 −$1 -0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 12 $84 $0 -0%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $70 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $31 $0 -1%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 10 $235 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 10 $16 $0 +0%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $93 +$4 +4%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $28 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $38 $0 -1%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $173 −$4 -2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $15 +$8 +54%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $30 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 08 $15 $0 -2%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $15 $0 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $15 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $45 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 08 $29 $0 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $16 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 07 $16 $0 +0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $16 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 06 $14 −$7 -49%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 06 $9 $0 -0%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $12 +$2 +17%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 06 $9 $0 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $12 $0 +0%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 06 $47 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $14 $0 +0%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $17 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $39 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 06 $8 $0 -3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 06 $17 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $24 −$4 -16%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 06 $19 $0 -1%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 06 $7 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 06 $80 $0 -0%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 05 $1 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $9 −$1 -10%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $26 +$2 +7%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? Jun 05 $11 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 05 $26 $0 +0%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $35 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 63% −$11
sports 29% +$5
other 5% $0
politics 2% $0
crypto 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $1 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 28¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $8 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 74¢ $1 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $2 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 74¢ $6 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 73¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 74¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 25¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 75¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 74¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 74¢ $7 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +0.7% -8.9% 9% 7% -9.5%
≤30d 57 -1.7% -11.1% 9% 5% -9.5%
≤90d 57 -1.7% -11.1% 9% 5% -9.5%
all 57 -1.7% -11.1% 9% 5% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 5% -9.5%
10% -19.6% 4% -18.2%
15% -27.3% 4% -26.1%
20% -34.5% 4% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.91 · official $0.00 (match) · 780 history records