Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb02…e548
other · 118 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$42 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses15 / 102
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)117 / 118
History coverage126d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 1 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-0%)
Wizards vs. Heat Wizards 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers Pacers 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Pelicans Warriors 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $14 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 28 $72 $0 -0%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 17 $62 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 14 $69 $0 -0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 07 $63 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 07 $61 $0 -0%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 06 $59 $0 -0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? May 06 $2 $0 +1%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $372 $0 -0%
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? May 04 $63 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 03 $165 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 03 $72 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 03 $76 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $143 $0 -0%
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 02 $69 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 01 $63 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 30 $65 $0 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 30 $85 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 30 $59 $0 -0%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 27 $79 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $68 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 27 $64 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 26 $65 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 26 $156 $0 -0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Apr 26 $147 $0 -0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 26 $148 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 24 $128 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 24 $142 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 22 $76 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 21 $151 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $67 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $74 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $211 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $319 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Apr 20 $159 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $80 $0 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $130 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 19 $165 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 18 $67 $0 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $73 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 17 $253 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 17 $153 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $161 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? Apr 15 $86 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 15 $82 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 14 $71 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 13 $65 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? Apr 12 $84 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $74 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 11 $89 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$5
politics 31% −$4
sports 9% +$52
crypto 5% −$1
economics 3% $0
world 2% $0
tech 1% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $12 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $14 2d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $14 12d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $72 16d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $72 23d
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $62 27d
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $62 30d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $69 30d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $69 37d
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $63 37d
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $63 37d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $61 37d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $61 38d
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $59 38d
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $59 38d
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $58 40d
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $58 40d
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $63 40d
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $63 40d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $76 40d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $76 41d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $72 41d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $72 41d
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $76 41d
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $76 41d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $81 42d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $81 42d
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $69 42d
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $69 42d
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $63 43d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 3 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 89 -0.1% -9.6% 7% 0% -9.6%
all 117 +2.4% -7.4% 13% 7% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 7% -9.1%
10% -16.2% 6% -17.8%
15% -24.3% 4% -25.8%
20% -31.7% 3% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.99 · official $11.99 (match) · 349 history records