Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:40:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb00…fda1
sports · 575 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,491 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,459 · open −$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$8
Realized−$1,459
Unrealized−$32
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses284 / 287
Est. fees paid−$217
Open positions4
Markets (closed)571 / 575
History coverage72d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days−$344
14 days−$720
30 days−$1,331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner EDward Gaming 46¢ 46¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 27¢ $8 $0 −$7 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 54¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 47¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$9 +112%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$11 +139%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$11 +139%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $18 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 13 $8 +$7 +90%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$23 -57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$6 -51%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$15 +99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$9 -37%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 +$6 +82%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $24 +$13 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$9 +58%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$7 +53%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8 +$6 +73%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $16 −$13 -86%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 +$8 +99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$6 +82%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $10 +$3 +29%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $12 +$11 +86%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$5 +59%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 09 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $20 +$7 +38%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $21 +$23 +109%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $12 +$10 +82%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $8 +$4 +48%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,521
crypto 1% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $8 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $8 27m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 47¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 54¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner SELL HEROIC Academy 99¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner BUY HEROIC Academy 46¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 29¢ $19 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $19 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 57¢ $19 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $19 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $8 5h
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 1 Winner BUY Atputies 10¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 29¢ $11 10h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 72¢ $11 10h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 52¢ $8 10h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY Wanted Goons 44¢ $15 11h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY FaZe Vegas 52¢ $8 18h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $8 18h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 72¢ $6 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 16¢ $6 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $12 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 48¢ $12 21h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $8 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -15.2% -23.3% 46% 45% -33.6%
≤30d 310 -9.1% -17.8% 49% 48% -26.4%
≤90d 571 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 49% -18.9%
all 571 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 49% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 49% -18.9%
10% -23.6% 45% -26.7%
15% -31.0% 40% -33.7%
20% -37.7% 31% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.78 · official $7.78 (match) · 1291 history records