trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 58% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 58% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 26 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 46% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.3% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -27.0% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -34.1% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -40.5% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 54¢ | $35 | $37 | +$2 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $38 | +$1 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 11 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $38 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 09 | $37 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 08 | $37 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 08 | $28 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Dec 15 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Matteo Jorgenson win the Tour de France 2025? | Dec 15 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -83% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | Jun 25 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? | Jun 24 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament? | Jun 21 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championsh | Jun 12 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jun 11 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13? | Jun 10 | $3 | −$3 | -91% |
| Will Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13? | Jun 09 | $21 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts? | Jun 09 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 16 | $27 | $0 | +0% |