Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:21:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdaee…8559
sports · 1689 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3,967 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,921 · open +$46
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2,224
Realized+$3,921
Unrealized+$46
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses958 / 536
Est. fees paid−$381
Open positions48
Markets (closed)1494 / 1689
Avg bet$20
Trades / day148.2
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 48 History 1494 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,760
7 days+$860
14 days+$3,091
30 days+$3,921
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ 100¢ $195 $381 +$186 (+95%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? No 39¢ 80¢ $99 $204 +$104 (+106%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 48¢ $119 $117 −$3 (-2%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 36¢ 81¢ $50 $114 +$64 (+128%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 57¢ 100¢ $54 $95 +$41 (+75%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 36¢ 52¢ $50 $73 +$23 (+46%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Yes 57¢ 41¢ $96 $70 −$26 (-27%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 84¢ 54¢ $101 $64 −$37 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 84¢ $50 $64 +$14 (+28%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 81¢ 88¢ $54 $58 +$5 (+9%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 33¢ 34¢ $50 $50 +$1 (+2%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 50¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 52¢ 52¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 49¢ 48¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 56¢ $50 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Natus Vincere 41¢ 40¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 35¢ 34¢ $49 $49 −$0 (-0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $49 $48 −$0 (-1%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes 51¢ 23¢ $99 $45 −$54 (-55%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? No 49¢ 83¢ $24 $42 +$17 (+70%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 39¢ 32¢ $50 $41 −$8 (-17%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 39¢ 32¢ $50 $40 −$10 (-19%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? No 13¢ 100¢ $5 $38 +$33 (+669%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 33¢ 22¢ $50 $33 −$17 (-33%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 47¢ 48¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $5 +$33 +669%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $5 +$7 +150%
Geneva Open (Doubles): Fritz/Tien vs Arneodo/Polmans Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
Little Rock: Philip Sekulic vs Mitchell Krueger Jun 12 $10 −$2 -17%
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs megoshort - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +52%
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $2 +$5 +317%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-08? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +30%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Gr Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champion Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Set 1 Winner: Ivanov vs Roncadelli Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Ivanov vs. Roncadelli: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Ser Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +26%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dickerson vs. Kicker: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Columbus Crew vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$5,611
other 6% +$323
finance 5% +$474
politics 0% +$10
crypto 0% +$14
world 0% $0
culture 0% +$7
weather 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $44 49m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $20 52m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $20 52m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $51 53m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 39¢ $51 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 39¢ $51 1h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 57¢ $5 1h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 55¢ $3 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 35¢ $50 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 33¢ $51 1h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $51 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $20 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $20 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $51 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $51 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $51 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $51 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $51 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $50 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $51 4h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 56¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $50 5h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 5h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 36¢ $51 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $50 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $5 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 92¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 731 -12.7% -21.0% 49% 47% -5.0%
≤30d 1494 +11.9% +1.2% 64% 61% +3.4%
≤90d 1494 +11.9% +1.2% 64% 61% +3.4%
all 1494 +11.9% +1.2% 64% 61% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover148.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.2% 61% +3.4%
10% ← realistic here -8.4% 52% -6.5%
15% -17.3% 44% -15.6%
20% -25.4% 33% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,223.81 · official $2,221.50 (match) · 3500 history records